Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Diabate I.
Assist: Blanco A.
46'
46'
Rashford M.
62'
62'
Sub
Bardghji R. In: Torres F.
Out: Bardghji R.
AI Match Summary
Alaves in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alaves.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Alaves haven't matched Barcelona's recent run of results.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Barcelona taking it.
- Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Barcelona have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Alaves Clean Sheet 10%
Barcelona Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alaves | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 25 |
| Draws | 9 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 2.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 LaLiga
Alaves vs Barcelona
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Alaves
3:1
Feb 2, 2025 LaLiga
Barcelona vs Alaves
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 LaLiga
Alaves vs Barcelona
0:3
Feb 3, 2024 LaLiga
Alaves vs Barcelona
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alaves Compare
Top Goalscorer Diabate I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Barcelona Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alaves 10 / 100
Barcelona 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alaves Barcelona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barcelona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alaves found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
Barcelona let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Alaves stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alaves VS Barcelona
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Alaves
(Home) 19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0 Alaves
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1 Valencia
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1 Alaves
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2 Osasuna
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0 Villarreal
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1 Valencia
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2 Osasuna
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0 Villarreal
15 Aug
Alaves
3 : 0 Getafe
31 Jul
Alaves
3 : 0 Castellon
Page 1 of 4
Barcelona
(Away) 19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3 Barcelona
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2 Racing Santander
13 Sept
Levante
2 : 4 Barcelona
09 Sept
Barcelona
5 : 1 Feyenoord
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5 Barcelona
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3 Barcelona
13 Sept
Levante
2 : 4 Barcelona
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5 Barcelona
23 Aug
Elche
0 : 5 Barcelona
16 Aug
Basel
2 : 5 Barcelona
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
