Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alaves vs Eibar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Bautista J.
46'
Sub
Garcia H. In: Marton Anso J.
Out: Garcia H.
46'
Sub
Arbilla A. In: Asenjo I.
Out: Arbilla A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Alaves
15%
Draws
58%
Eibar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eibar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eibar lately — more wins on the board than Alaves.
  • Win probability leans Eibar's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Alaves Clean Sheet 17%
Eibar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves Eibar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.6 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Alaves vs Eibar
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Eibar vs Alaves
0:0
Jun 8, 2023 LaLiga2
Alaves vs Eibar
2:0
Jun 3, 2023 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Alaves
1:1
Feb 4, 2023 LaLiga2
Alaves vs Eibar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Eibar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bautista J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves 15 / 100
Eibar 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves Eibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eibar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alaves scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alaves stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Eibar has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alaves VS Eibar
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves

(Home)
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2
Osasuna
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0
Villarreal
Page 1 of 6

Eibar

(Away)
19 Sept
Eldense
1 : 2
Eibar
14 Sept
Celta Vigo B
0 : 4
Eibar
06 Sept
Eibar
3 : 0
Granada CF
30 Aug
FC Andorra
0 : 1
Eibar
23 Aug
Eibar
1 : 0
Valladolid
Page 1 of 6