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Stadium Background

Alaves vs Eibar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Bautista J.
46'
Sub
Garcia H. In: Marton Anso J.
Out: Garcia H.
46'
Sub
Arbilla A. In: Asenjo I.
Out: Arbilla A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Alaves
39%
Draws
31%
Eibar
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eibar lately — more wins on the board than Alaves.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Alaves Clean Sheet 68%
Eibar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves Eibar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Alaves vs Eibar
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Eibar vs Alaves
0:0
Jun 8, 2023 LaLiga2
Alaves vs Eibar
2:0
Jun 3, 2023 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Alaves
1:1
Feb 4, 2023 LaLiga2
Alaves vs Eibar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Eibar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bautista J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves 41 / 100
Eibar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves Eibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alaves scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alaves stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Eibar has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alaves VS Eibar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves

(Home)
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1
Alaves
18 Jul
Alaves
1 : 1
Eibar
23 May
Alaves
1 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
17 May
Real Oviedo
0 : 1
Alaves
13 May
Alaves
1 : 0
Barcelona
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Eibar

(Away)
25 Jul
Ath Bilbao
2 : 2
Eibar
18 Jul
Alaves
1 : 1
Eibar
31 May
Castellon
2 : 1
Eibar
24 May
Eibar
2 : 0
Cordoba
16 May
Leonesa
2 : 1
Eibar
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