Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alaves vs Mallorca

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Boye L. In: Diabate I.
Out: Boye L.
18' Event
Virgili J.
Assist: Costa S.
26'
Otto J.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Alaves and Mallorca finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alaves
40%
Draws
29%
Mallorca
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Mallorca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Alaves Clean Sheet 17%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves Mallorca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 LaLiga
Alaves vs Mallorca
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Alaves
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Alaves
1:1
Nov 1, 2024 LaLiga
Alaves vs Mallorca
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 LaLiga
Alaves vs Mallorca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mallorca Compare

Top Goalscorer Virgili J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves 31 / 100
Mallorca 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves Mallorca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mallorca conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Alaves has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alaves VS Mallorca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves

(Home)
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1
Alaves
18 Jul
Alaves
1 : 1
Eibar
23 May
Alaves
1 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
17 May
Real Oviedo
0 : 1
Alaves
13 May
Alaves
1 : 0
Barcelona
Page 1 of 6

Mallorca

(Away)
30 Jul
Mallorca
4 : 2
Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Mallorca
3 : 0
Al Fateh
23 May
Mallorca
3 : 0
Real Oviedo
17 May
Levante
2 : 0
Mallorca
13 May
Getafe
3 : 1
Mallorca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona38311695:3694
2Real Madrid38275677:3586
3Villarreal382261072:4672
4Atl. Madrid382161162:4469
5Betis381515859:4860
6Celta Vigo3814121253:4854
7Getafe381561732:3851
8Rayo Vallecano3812141241:4450
9Valencia3813101546:5549
10Real Sociedad3811131459:6146
11Espanyol3812101643:5546
12Ath Bilbao381361943:5845
13Sevilla381271946:6043
14Alaves3811101744:5643
15Elche3810131549:5743
16Levante381191847:6142
17Osasuna381191844:5042
18Mallorca381191847:5742
19Girona389141539:5541
20Real Oviedo386112126:6029
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)