Sport Picks
Alaves W vs Cacereno W Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz 
Match Events
7'
7'
Guallar A.
13'
13'
Acedo C.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 game between Alaves W and Cacereno W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cacereno W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alaves W come out ahead of Cacereno W on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Alaves W Clean Sheet 22%
Cacereno W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alaves W | Cacereno W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Alaves W vs Cacereno W
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs Alaves W
0:0
May 11, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Alaves W vs Cacereno W
1:2
May 4, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs Alaves W
2:2
Feb 8, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs Alaves W
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alaves W Compare
Top Goalscorer Guallar A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Cacereno W Compare
Top Goalscorer Acedo C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alaves W 37 / 100
Cacereno W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alaves W Cacereno W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cacereno W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alaves W found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).
Cacereno W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Cacereno W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Alaves W VS Cacereno W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alaves W
(Home) 03 Oct
Espanyol W
1 : 0 Alaves W
26 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0 Alaves W
18 Sept
Alaves W
0 : 6 Barcelona W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0 Granada CF W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0 Alaves W
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Alaves W
0 : 6 Barcelona W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0 Granada CF W
30 Aug
Alaves W
2 : 0 Valencia W
22 Aug
Alaves W
2 : 2 Madrid CFF W
08 Aug
Alaves W
1 : 2 Costa Adeje Tenerife W
Page 1 of 4
Cacereno W
(Away) 03 Oct
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1 Cacereno W
27 Sept
Cacereno W
2 : 0 Real Union W
20 Sept
Levante W
3 : 0 Cacereno W
13 Sept
Real Sociedad B W
3 : 2 Cacereno W
15 Aug
Logrono W
3 : 0 Cacereno W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Real Madrid B W
0 : 1 Cacereno W
20 Sept
Levante W
3 : 0 Cacereno W
13 Sept
Real Sociedad B W
3 : 2 Cacereno W
15 Aug
Logrono W
3 : 0 Cacereno W
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid B W
0 : 2 Cacereno W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona B W | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 67:26 | 58 |
| 2 | Alaves W | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 44:15 | 56 |
| 3 | Valencia W | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 35:18 | 46 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B W | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:27 | 41 |
| 5 | Tenerife B W | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 39 |
| 6 | Villarreal W | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 35:31 | 38 |
| 7 | CA Osasuna W | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:26 | 33 |
| 8 | Albacete W | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Cacereno W | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 22:33 | 31 |
| 10 | Atl. Madrid B W | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26:32 | 31 |
| 11 | SE AEM W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26:36 | 30 |
| 12 | CE Europa W | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 29:47 | 23 |
| 13 | Betis W | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24:48 | 23 |
| 14 | Real Oviedo W | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga F Women (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
