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Alaves W vs Real Sociedad W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alaves W host Real Sociedad W in the Liga F Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Alaves W at 1.35 goals for, 1 against; Real Sociedad W at 1.55 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Real Sociedad W slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2025, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.38 - 1.19) back Real Sociedad W to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Alaves W
20%
Draws
58%
Real Sociedad W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Sociedad W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaves W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Real Sociedad W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Real Sociedad W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Alaves W Clean Sheet 20%
Real Sociedad W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves W Real Sociedad W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.35 1.55
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Alaves W vs Real Sociedad W
1:3
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Real Sociedad W vs Alaves W
2:1
Aug 26, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Alaves W vs Real Sociedad W
0:4
Mar 19, 2023 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Alaves W
6:5
Oct 29, 2022 Liga F Women
Alaves W vs Real Sociedad W
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves W 10 / 100
Real Sociedad W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves W Real Sociedad W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Alaves W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Real Sociedad W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Alaves W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alaves W VS Real Sociedad W
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves W

(Home)
03 Oct
Espanyol W
1 : 0
Alaves W
26 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Alaves W
18 Sept
Alaves W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0
Granada CF W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
Page 1 of 7

Real Sociedad W

(Away)
04 Oct
Valencia W
0 : 1
Real Sociedad W
30 Sept
Real Sociedad W
4 : 0
Hearts W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
23 Sept
Hearts W
0 : 0
Real Sociedad W
19 Sept
Badalona W
0 : 0
Real Sociedad W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 7 3 2 2 10:11 11
7 Granada CF W 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
8 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
9 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
10 Badalona W 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
11 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
12 Logrono W 7 2 0 5 7:10 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)