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Alaves W vs Sevilla W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alaves W host Sevilla W in the Liga F Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Sevilla W have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Alaves W have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Alaves W have won 1 to Sevilla W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2023, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.50) back Alaves W to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Alaves W
15%
Draws
49%
Sevilla W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sevilla W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alaves W lately — more wins on the board than Sevilla W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga F Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Alaves W Clean Sheet 16%
Sevilla W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves W Sevilla W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Liga F Women
Sevilla W vs Alaves W
4:2
Dec 11, 2022 Liga F Women
Alaves W vs Sevilla W
2:0
Feb 6, 2022 Liga F Women
Alaves W vs Sevilla W
1:1
Nov 6, 2021 Liga F Women
Sevilla W vs Alaves W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves W 31 / 100
Sevilla W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves W Sevilla W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sevilla W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Sevilla W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Sevilla W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alaves W VS Sevilla W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves W

(Home)
03 Oct
Espanyol W
1 : 0
Alaves W
26 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Alaves W
18 Sept
Alaves W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0
Granada CF W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
Page 1 of 6

Sevilla W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sevilla W
3 : 3
Badalona W
27 Sept
Sevilla W
0 : 1
Eibar W
20 Sept
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
1 : 3
Sevilla W
12 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Sevilla W
05 Sept
Sevilla W
0 : 4
Barcelona W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)