Sport Picks

Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2002/2003

Samtredia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alazani Gurjaani play Samtredia in the Pirveli Liga 2002/2003. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alazani Gurjaani averaged 1 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. Samtredia averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Alazani Gurjaani won 4, Samtredia won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 26, 2003 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Alazani Gurjaani and 1.05 for Samtredia. This points to a Samtredia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Alazani Gurjaani

15%

Draws

45%

Samtredia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Alazani Gurjaani picked up more points recently compared to Samtredia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Alazani Gurjaani Clean Sheet 22%

Samtredia Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alazani Gurjaani	Samtredia
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	9
Draws	6	6
Losses	19	17
Goals Scored	1	1.22
Goals Conceded	2.57	1.72

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2003 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Alazani Gurjaani vs Samtredia

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Sep 16, 2002 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Samtredia vs Alazani Gurjaani

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

May 22, 1993 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga

Alazani Gurjaani vs Samtredia

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Oct 30, 1992 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga

Samtredia vs Alazani Gurjaani

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 1 - 4

1:4

Apr 16, 1992 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga

Alazani Gurjaani vs Samtredia

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alazani Gurjaani 40 / 100

Samtredia 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alazani Gurjaani Samtredia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Samtredia or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alazani Gurjaani attacking → ← attacking Samtredia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alazani Gurjaani scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Samtredia let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Alazani Gurjaani went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Samtredia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 33

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88