Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alba vs Albenga

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Nesci A.
66' Event
Pellicano F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Alba and Albenga finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albenga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alba
15%
Draws
0%
Albenga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alba come out ahead of Albenga on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Alba Clean Sheet 20%
Albenga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alba Albenga
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 1
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs Albenga
0:2
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Alba
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Albenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Nesci A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pellicano F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alba 32 / 100
Albenga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alba Albenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albenga has conceded goals in 88% of their last 24 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Albenga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alba found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Albenga
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alba

(Home)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

Albenga

(Away)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)