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Albacete B vs Tomelloso Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Vargas J.
75' Event
Moreno M.

AI Match Summary

Albacete B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albacete B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Albacete B
20%
Draws
44%
Tomelloso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tomelloso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Albacete B lately — more wins on the board than Tomelloso.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Albacete B Clean Sheet 68%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albacete B Tomelloso
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 19 4
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.45 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Albacete B
0:2
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Albacete B vs Tomelloso
2:0
Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Albacete B vs Tomelloso
1:0
Sep 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Albacete B
1:1
Feb 10, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Albacete B vs Tomelloso
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albacete B Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Tomelloso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albacete B 41 / 100
Tomelloso 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albacete B Tomelloso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albacete B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tomelloso conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Albacete B scored in 71% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Albacete B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albacete B VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albacete B

(Home)
27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2
Atletico Paso
20 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
6 : 1
Albacete B
12 Sept
Albacete B
4 : 3
Atletico Tordesillas
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0
Albacete B
22 Aug
Albacete B
0 : 1
Ilicitano
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Tomelloso

(Away)
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3
Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0
Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2
Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1
Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)