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Albacete W vs Rayo Vallecano W

Spain Spain

Copa de la Reina Women 2022/2023
Albacete W Logo

Albacete W

1 - 0
FT
Rayo Vallecano W Logo

Rayo Vallecano W

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Zafra Carmona M.
62'
Vargas R.
63'
Sub
Medina S. In: Gomez C.
Out: Medina S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Albacete W in this Copa de la Reina Women 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Albacete W
20%
Draws
36%
Rayo Vallecano W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Albacete W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Albacete W have won more games recently than Rayo Vallecano W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Albacete W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Albacete W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Albacete W Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Vallecano W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albacete W Rayo Vallecano W
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 14 10
Draws 13 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Rayo Vallecano W vs Albacete W
1:0
Nov 23, 2022 Copa de la Reina Women
Albacete W vs Rayo Vallecano W
1:0
Nov 19, 2022 Primera Federacion Women
Albacete W vs Rayo Vallecano W
1:1
Feb 13, 2019 Liga F Women
Albacete W vs Rayo Vallecano W
2:1
Oct 20, 2018 Liga F Women
Rayo Vallecano W vs Albacete W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albacete W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zafra Carmona M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Rayo Vallecano W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albacete W 41 / 100
Rayo Vallecano W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albacete W Rayo Vallecano W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albacete W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Albacete W scored in 60% of their last 42 outings.

Rayo Vallecano W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Albacete W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Albacete W VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albacete W

(Home)
26 Sept
Alhama W
2 : 1
Albacete W
19 Sept
Albacete W
2 : 0
Real Sociedad B W
12 Sept
Atl. Madrid B W
2 : 1
Albacete W
15 Aug
Albacete W
0 : 2
Levante W
08 Aug
Alhama W
1 : 2
Albacete W
Page 1 of 9

Rayo Vallecano W

(Away)
14 May
Rayo Vallecano W
3 : 1
Granadilla Tenerife B W
07 May
Athletic Bilbao B W
2 : 0
Rayo Vallecano W
30 Apr
Rayo Vallecano W
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna W
23 Apr
CA Osasuna W
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano W
16 Apr
Rayo Vallecano W
1 : 1
Eibar W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Alhama W 1
Valencia W 0
TBD -
Levante W -
Fundacion Tenerife W 2
Eibar W 1
TBD -
Costa Adeje Tenerife W -
Granada CF W 3
Betis W 1
Real Oviedo W 1
Alaves W 2
Real Sociedad W -
TBD -
TBD -
Atl. Madrid W -
CA Osasuna W 2
Huelva W 0
TBD -
Barcelona W -
Cordoba W 0
Madrid CFF W 4
TBD -
Athletic Bilbao W -
Espanyol W 1
Villarreal W 2
TBD -
Sevilla W -
Albacete W 1
Rayo Vallecano W 0
TBD -
Real Madrid W -
1/8-finals
Alhama W 5
Levante W 3
Fundacion Tenerife W 0
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 4
Granada CF W 1
Alaves W 0
Real Sociedad W 0
Atl. Madrid W 2
CA Osasuna W 3
Barcelona W 0
Madrid CFF W 0
Athletic Bilbao W 1
Villarreal W 3
Sevilla W 0
Albacete W 0
Real Madrid W 6
Quarter-finals
Alhama W 1
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 0
Granada CF W 0
Atl. Madrid W 3
CA Osasuna W 1
Athletic Bilbao W 2
Villarreal W 1
Real Madrid W 2
Semi-finals
Alhama W 0
Atl. Madrid W 4
Athletic Bilbao W 0
Real Madrid W 4
Final
Atl. Madrid W 3
Real Madrid W 2