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Albalonga vs Afragolese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albalonga host Afragolese in the Serie D - Group G. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Albalonga have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Afragolese's 1.07 scored and 1.25 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.06 - 1.38) back Albalonga to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Albalonga
30%
Draws
41%
Afragolese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Afragolese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Albalonga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Albalonga a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 17%
Afragolese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albalonga Afragolese
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albalonga 36 / 100
Afragolese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albalonga Afragolese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albalonga found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Afragolese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Albalonga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Afragolese lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albalonga VS Afragolese
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albalonga

(Home)
18 Oct
Budoni Calcio
2 : 4
Albalonga
11 Oct
Albalonga
0 : 0
Certosa V. Campagnano
07 Oct
Certosa V. Campagnano
4 : 1
Albalonga
04 Oct
Albalonga
0 : 2
Anzio Calcio 1924
27 Sept
Monastir
2 : 2
Albalonga
Page 1 of 6

Afragolese

(Away)
17 Oct
Afragolese
4 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
11 Oct
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0
Afragolese
04 Oct
Afragolese
0 : 2
Ossese
27 Sept
Citta di Anagni
4 : 0
Afragolese
20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0
US Venafro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 8 6 2 0 13:6 20
2 Monastir 8 5 1 2 21:13 16
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
4 Trastevere Calcio 8 4 2 2 11:14 14
5 Paganese 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Unipomezia 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
7 Ossese 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
8 Albalonga 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
9 Aranova 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
11 Afragolese 8 2 4 2 9:7 10
12 Citta di Anagni 8 3 1 4 10:12 10
13 Gelbison 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
14 US Venafro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Budoni Calcio 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
17 Latte Dolce 8 1 3 4 9:14 6
18 Atl. Lodigiani 8 0 1 7 8:22 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)