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Albalonga vs Ischia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Manca L.
14' Event
Ndoye M.
69' Event
Bensaja N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Albalonga in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albalonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Albalonga
15%
Draws
64%
Ischia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ischia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ischia lately — more wins on the board than Albalonga.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 20%
Ischia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albalonga Ischia
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.58 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Ischia
4:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Ischia vs Albalonga
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Manca L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndoye M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ischia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albalonga 32 / 100
Ischia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albalonga Ischia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ischia has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Albalonga scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Albalonga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albalonga VS Ischia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Albalonga

(Home)
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0
Albalonga
03 May
Albalonga
1 : 4
Scafatese
26 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Albalonga
18 Apr
Albalonga
1 : 1
Monastir
12 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 2
Albalonga
Page 1 of 7

Ischia

(Away)
13 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1
Ischia
31 Jul
Juve Stabia
5 : 1
Ischia
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1
Ischia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)