Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albalonga vs Real Monterotondo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sfano M.
10' Event
Ferrari T.
30' Event
Ingretolli C.

AI Match Summary

Albalonga in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albalonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Albalonga
40%
Draws
29%
Real Monterotondo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Albalonga lately — more wins on the board than Real Monterotondo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 16%
Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albalonga Real Monterotondo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Real Monterotondo
5:3
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Albalonga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sfano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingretolli C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Real Monterotondo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrari T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Armini Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albalonga 31 / 100
Real Monterotondo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albalonga Real Monterotondo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Monterotondo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Albalonga scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Albalonga stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albalonga VS Real Monterotondo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albalonga

(Home)
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0
Albalonga
03 May
Albalonga
1 : 4
Scafatese
26 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Albalonga
18 Apr
Albalonga
1 : 1
Monastir
12 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 2
Albalonga
Page 1 of 6

Real Monterotondo

(Away)
10 May
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 1
Real Monterotondo
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 2
Real Monterotondo
19 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scafatese34276175:2387
2Trastevere Calcio34179864:4660
3Monastir341581151:4453
4Flaminia341312953:3751
5Albalonga341481255:5550
6Latte Dolce341461449:4948
7Valmontone341461449:5048
8Nocerina341114936:3347
9Sarrabus Ogliastra3412101247:5146
10Budoni Calcio341291333:3245
11Palmese 19143411121141:4345
12Atl. Lodigiani3411111243:4044
13Ischia341271536:5243
14Anzio Calcio 19243410111338:4341
15Real Monterotondo341061839:5836
16Olbia348141239:5036
17Montespaccato346121647:5830
18Cassino34492124:5521
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)