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Albalonga vs Tortoli

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Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Albalonga Logo

Albalonga

0 - 0
FT
Tortoli Logo

Tortoli

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Albalonga
15%
Draws
26%
Tortoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Albalonga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Albalonga lately — more wins on the board than Tortoli.
  • Model gives Albalonga a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 20%
Tortoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albalonga Tortoli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Tortoli
0:0
Oct 28, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Tortoli vs Albalonga
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albalonga 85 / 100
Tortoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albalonga Tortoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albalonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tortoli has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Albalonga found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Albalonga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tortoli's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Albalonga VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albalonga

(Home)
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0
Albalonga
12 Sept
Albalonga
3 : 1
Citta di Anagni
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Albalonga
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0
Albalonga
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Tortoli

(Away)
06 May
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Tortoli
29 Apr
Tortoli
1 : 4
Monterosi
22 Apr
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Tortoli
14 Apr
Tortoli
4 : 3
Aprilia
08 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
1 : 0
Tortoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)