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Albania vs Azerbaijan Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 Haladás Sportkomplexum, Szombathely
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bajrami N.
Assist: Ramadani Y.
46'
Sub
Asani J. In: Hoxha A.
Out: Asani J.
46'
Sub
Broja A. In: Manaj R.
Out: Broja A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Albania and Azerbaijan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Albania
15%
Draws
65%
Azerbaijan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azerbaijan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Albania come out ahead of Azerbaijan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Albania's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Albania Clean Sheet 19%
Azerbaijan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albania Azerbaijan
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.04 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2024 Friendly International
Albania vs Azerbaijan
3:1
Nov 11, 2011 Friendly International
Albania vs Azerbaijan
0:1
Nov 19, 2008 Friendly International
Azerbaijan vs Albania
1:1
Aug 17, 2005 Friendly International
Albania vs Azerbaijan
2:1
Mar 27, 2002 Friendly International
Albania vs Azerbaijan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albania Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajrami N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manaj R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Azerbaijan Compare

Top Goalscorer Qurbanly M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albania 42 / 100
Azerbaijan 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albania Azerbaijan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Azerbaijan conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Albania found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Albania went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albania VS Azerbaijan
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Albania

(Home)
26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Luxembourg
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Israel
31 Mar
Ukraine
1 : 0
Albania
26 Mar
Poland
2 : 1
Albania
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Azerbaijan

(Away)
27 Sept
Lithuania
1 : 1
Azerbaijan
23 Sept
Azerbaijan
1 : 0
Tajikistan
09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Malta
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
Sierra Leone
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