Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2024 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Chile

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Albania play Chile in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Albania averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Chile averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Albania won 0, Chile won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Albania and 1.13 for Chile. This points to a Chile double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Albania

20%

Draws

42%

Chile

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Albania picked up more points recently compared to Chile.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Albania Clean Sheet 21%

Chile Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Albania	Chile
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	10
Draws	6	6
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	0.97	1.2
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International

Albania vs Chile

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bolados M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albania 38 / 100

Chile 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Albania Chile

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chile or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Albania attacking → ← attacking Chile

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albania scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Chile let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Albania went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Chile lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 36

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63