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Albania vs Israel Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Air Albania Stadium, Tirana
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Turgeman D. In: Toklomati I.
Out: Turgeman D.
46'
Sub
Turiel S. In: Lavi N.
Out: Turiel S.
46'
Sub
Dasa E. In: Mizrahi G.
Out: Dasa E.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Albania and Israel finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Israel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Albania
15%
Draws
46%
Israel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Israel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Albania come out ahead of Israel on wins alone.
  • Albania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Israel here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Albania Clean Sheet 68%
Israel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albania Israel
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.11 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Friendly International
Albania vs Israel
0:1
Sep 24, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Israel vs Albania
2:1
Jun 10, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Albania vs Israel
1:2
Oct 14, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Israel vs Albania
2:0
Sep 7, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Albania vs Israel
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Israel Compare

Top Goalscorer Gloukh O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albania 95 / 100
Israel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albania Israel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albania's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Israel let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Albania has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Albania VS Israel
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albania

(Home)
29 Sept
San Marino
0 : 3
Albania
26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Luxembourg
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Israel
31 Mar
Ukraine
1 : 0
Albania
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Israel

(Away)
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3
Ireland
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Israel
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Israel
26 Mar
Georgia
2 : 2
Israel
16 Nov
Israel
4 : 1
Moldova
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