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Albania vs Latvia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 Air Albania Stadium, Tirana
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sits D.
25' Event
Asllani K.
(Penalty)
27'
Jurkovskis R.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Albania and Latvia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Albania
15%
Draws
8%
Latvia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Albania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Albania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Albania's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Albania Clean Sheet 68%
Latvia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albania Latvia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship
Albania vs Latvia
1:0
Jun 10, 2025 World Championship
Latvia vs Albania
1:1
Sep 3, 1999 Euro
Albania vs Latvia
3:3
Apr 27, 1999 Euro
Latvia vs Albania
0:0
Feb 10, 1998 Friendly International
Latvia vs Albania
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albania 95 / 100
Latvia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albania Latvia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Albania scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Latvia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Albania has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Albania VS Latvia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albania

(Home)
06 Oct
Albania
2 : 1
San Marino
03 Oct
Finland
2 : 1
Albania
29 Sept
San Marino
0 : 3
Albania
26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Luxembourg
Page 1 of 6

Latvia

(Away)
05 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 1
Latvia
02 Oct
Latvia
1 : 2
Montenegro
28 Sept
Latvia
0 : 0
Cyprus
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0
Latvia
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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