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Albenga vs Pinerolo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Diagne B.
90' Event
Bongani G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Albenga
35%
Draws
65%
Pinerolo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinerolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pinerolo lately — more wins on the board than Albenga.
  • Win probability leans Albenga's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Albenga Clean Sheet 68%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albenga Pinerolo
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 2 11
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0.57
Goals Conceded 3 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Pinerolo
1:1
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Albenga
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Diagne B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Pinerolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bongani G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albenga 68 / 100
Pinerolo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albenga Pinerolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albenga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pinerolo conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Albenga scored in 41% of their last 22 outings.

Difficult form: Pinerolo registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albenga VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albenga

(Home)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
Page 1 of 5

Pinerolo

(Away)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)