Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albergaria/Durit W vs Braga W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estádio do Mergulhão, Nogueira do Cravo
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
van de Ven Z.
5' Event
Rute A.
Assist: Silva Do.
38'
Sub
Sirlayne (Sissi) R. In: Esteves Rocha C.
Out: Sirlayne (Sissi) R.

AI Match Summary

Braga W in this Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Braga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Albergaria/Durit W
6%
Draws
90%
Braga W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Braga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Braga W have won more games recently than Albergaria/Durit W.
  • Braga W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Braga W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Albergaria/Durit W Clean Sheet 19%
Braga W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albergaria/Durit W Braga W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Albergaria/Durit W
4:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Braga W
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Braga W
2:3
Oct 8, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Albergaria/Durit W
6:0
May 21, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Albergaria/Durit W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albergaria/Durit W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Braga W Compare

Top Goalscorer van de Ven Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rute A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albergaria/Durit W 10 / 100
Braga W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albergaria/Durit W Braga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Braga W let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

Albergaria/Durit W scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Albergaria/Durit W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albergaria/Durit W VS Braga W
0 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albergaria/Durit W

(Home)
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 2
Torreense W
03 May
SL Benfica W
5 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
12 Apr
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 6
Sporting W
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Braga W

(Away)
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
03 May
Racing Power W
1 : 2
Braga W
25 Apr
Braga W
1 : 3
SL Benfica W
04 Apr
Sporting W
3 : 1
Braga W
22 Mar
Braga W
0 : 0
Rio Ave W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W22202065:1062
2Sporting W22173266:954
3Braga W22133651:1742
4Torreense W22132746:2241
5Valadares Gaia W22122844:2438
6Racing Power W2297635:2334
7Maritimo W22931028:2630
8Damaiense W22821222:2926
9Famalicao W22721332:5423
10Estoril Praia W22541328:4919
11Albergaria/Durit W22321713:6011
12Vilaverdense W2200224:1110
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)