Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça da Liga Women 2023/2024

Ouriense W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Albergaria/Durit W play Ouriense W in the Taça da Liga Women 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Albergaria/Durit W averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.12 conceded. Ouriense W averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. In past meetings, Albergaria/Durit W won 2, Ouriense W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 27, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Albergaria/Durit W and 1.81 for Ouriense W. This points to a Ouriense W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Albergaria/Durit W

15%

Draws

48%

Ouriense W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ouriense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Albergaria/Durit W picked up more points recently compared to Ouriense W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Albergaria/Durit W Clean Sheet 11%

Ouriense W Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Albergaria/Durit W	Ouriense W
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	4	5
Draws	6	5
Losses	24	20
Goals Scored	0.5	0.8
Goals Conceded	2.12	2.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Liga BPI Women

Albergaria/Durit W vs Ouriense W

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Sep 16, 2023 Liga BPI Women

Ouriense W vs Albergaria/Durit W

Possession: 40% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sep 10, 2023 Taça da Liga Women

Ouriense W vs Albergaria/Durit W

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Sep 3, 2023 Taça da Liga Women

Albergaria/Durit W vs Ouriense W

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Mar 11, 2023 Liga BPI Women

Albergaria/Durit W vs Ouriense W

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albergaria/Durit W 36 / 100

Ouriense W 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Albergaria/Durit W Ouriense W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ouriense W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Albergaria/Durit W attacking → ← attacking Ouriense W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albergaria/Durit W scored in 29% of their last 34 games.

Ouriense W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Albergaria/Durit W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ouriense W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 20

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00