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Albergaria/Durit W vs Ouriense W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Santana L.
Assist: Canico M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 game between Albergaria/Durit W and Ouriense W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ouriense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Albergaria/Durit W
6%
Draws
90%
Ouriense W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ouriense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ouriense W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ouriense W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Albergaria/Durit W Clean Sheet 11%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albergaria/Durit W Ouriense W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 24 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Ouriense W
0:1
Sep 16, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Albergaria/Durit W
2:1
Sep 10, 2023 Taça da Liga Women
Ouriense W vs Albergaria/Durit W
2:0
Sep 3, 2023 Taça da Liga Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Ouriense W
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Ouriense W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albergaria/Durit W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ouriense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albergaria/Durit W 10 / 100
Ouriense W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albergaria/Durit W Ouriense W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ouriense W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ouriense W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Albergaria/Durit W scored in 29% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Albergaria/Durit W VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W22182266:1256
2Sporting W22173268:1054
3Racing Power W22134534:1343
4Damaiense W22114731:3337
5Braga W22113847:3036
6Valadares Gaia W22113824:1936
7Maritimo W221011133:4131
8Torreense W2286833:3930
9Albergaria/Durit W22521518:5117
10Famalicao W22511618:4116
11Vilaverdense W22331615:5212
12Ouriense W22241615:6110