Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albergaria/Durit W vs Sporting W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estádio do Mergulhão
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Haugen M.
Assist: Fonseca B. P.
17' Event
Capeta A.
Assist: Martins J.
20'
Smaili B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 game between Albergaria/Durit W and Sporting W finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Albergaria/Durit W
6%
Draws
90%
Sporting W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting W come out ahead of Albergaria/Durit W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sporting W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sporting W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Albergaria/Durit W Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albergaria/Durit W Sporting W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 19
Draws 6 11
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Sporting W
0:6
Nov 16, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Albergaria/Durit W
8:0
Mar 16, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Albergaria/Durit W
5:0
Jan 20, 2024 Taça de Portugal Women
Sporting W vs Albergaria/Durit W
8:0
Nov 12, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Sporting W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albergaria/Durit W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Capeta A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Correia M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albergaria/Durit W 10 / 100
Sporting W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albergaria/Durit W Sporting W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Sporting W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Albergaria/Durit W scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

Albergaria/Durit W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albergaria/Durit W VS Sporting W
0 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W22202065:1062
2Sporting W22173266:954
3Braga W22133651:1742
4Torreense W22132746:2241
5Valadares Gaia W22122844:2438
6Racing Power W2297635:2334
7Maritimo W22931028:2630
8Damaiense W22821222:2926
9Famalicao W22721332:5423
10Estoril Praia W22541328:4919
11Albergaria/Durit W22321713:6011
12Vilaverdense W2200224:1110