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Alberts JDFS vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Cevers R.
64' Event
Ozolins R.
70' Event
Pirktins K.

AI Match Summary

Alberts JDFS in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alberts JDFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Alberts JDFS
28%
Draws
22%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alberts JDFS lately — more wins on the board than Marupe.
  • Win probability leans Alberts JDFS's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alberts JDFS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 14%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alberts JDFS Marupe
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Alberts JDFS vs Marupe
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs Alberts JDFS
2:1
May 2, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Alberts JDFS vs Marupe
1:0
Aug 9, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Alberts JDFS vs Marupe
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs Alberts JDFS
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozolins R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pirktins K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Cevers R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 48 / 100
Marupe 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alberts JDFS Marupe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alberts JDFS found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Marupe has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alberts JDFS stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alberts JDFS VS Marupe
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1241720:2413
10JFK Ventspils1224615:2010
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334