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Alberts JDFS vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Cevers R.
64' Event
Ozolins R.
70' Event
Pirktins K.

AI Match Summary

Alberts JDFS in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alberts JDFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Alberts JDFS
15%
Draws
16%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alberts JDFS lately — more wins on the board than Marupe.
  • Win probability leans Alberts JDFS's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alberts JDFS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 20%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alberts JDFS Marupe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.14 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Alberts JDFS
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Marupe
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Alberts JDFS
2:1
May 2, 2025 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Marupe
1:0
Aug 9, 2024 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Marupe
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozolins R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pirktins K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Cevers R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 85 / 100
Marupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alberts JDFS Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alberts JDFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alberts JDFS found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Alberts JDFS has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Marupe has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alberts JDFS VS Marupe
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alberts JDFS

(Home)
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
08 Aug
Alberts JDFS
2 : 0
Riga FC 2
03 Aug
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 1
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6

Marupe

(Away)
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 19 15 3 1 56:18 48
2 FK Metta 19 15 3 1 79:16 48
3 Leevon PPK 19 14 3 2 36:21 45
4 Riga Mariners 19 13 5 1 45:17 44
5 Alberts JDFS 19 11 4 4 40:26 37
6 Marupe 19 8 1 10 29:32 25
7 Riga FC 2 19 7 3 9 28:36 24
8 Super Nova 2 19 6 6 7 26:28 24
9 Skanste 19 7 2 10 39:38 23
10 RFS 2 19 4 3 12 28:52 15
11 JFK Ventspils 18 2 6 10 20:33 12
12 Tukums 2000 2 18 3 3 12 23:54 12
13 FK Smiltene 19 2 4 13 23:56 10
14 Rezekne 19 1 2 16 14:59 5
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