Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS

0 - 4

Riga Mariners

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Bokans E.

43'

Grazis A.

55'

Kalpaks J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Riga Mariners in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga Mariners.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Alberts JDFS

Draws

90%

Riga Mariners

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Riga Mariners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Riga Mariners lately — more wins on the board than Alberts JDFS.
Win probability leans Riga Mariners's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Riga Mariners have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 10%

Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alberts JDFS	Riga Mariners
Matches Played	31	35
Wins	18	22
Draws	6	8
Losses	7	5
Goals Scored	2.63	3.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS vs Riga Mariners

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:4

Jun 20, 2026 Latvian Cup

Riga Mariners vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Nov 8, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS vs Riga Mariners

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Jul 18, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Riga Mariners vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alberts JDFS Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Bokans E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.95

Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 10 / 100

Riga Mariners 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alberts JDFS Riga Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alberts JDFS found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Riga Mariners's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 35 matches.

Solid form: Alberts JDFS remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alberts JDFS VS Riga Mariners

2.63 Goals Scored 3.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	13	11	1	1	46:11	34
2	Valmiera	13	10	2	1	35:12	32
3	Riga Mariners	13	8	4	1	26:12	28
4	Leevon PPK	13	8	3	2	22:16	27
5	Alberts JDFS	13	7	2	4	28:21	23
6	Marupe	13	6	1	6	22:19	19
7	Riga FC 2	13	6	1	6	21:23	19
8	Super Nova 2	13	5	4	4	20:19	19
9	Skanste	13	4	1	8	20:27	13
10	JFK Ventspils	13	2	4	7	16:23	10
11	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
12	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
13	FK Smiltene	13	1	4	8	13:33	7
14	Rezekne	13	1	2	10	10:37	5