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Alberts JDFS vs Riga Mariners

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bokans E.
43' Event
Grazis A.
55' Event
Kalpaks J.

AI Match Summary

Riga Mariners in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga Mariners.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Alberts JDFS
15%
Draws
42%
Riga Mariners
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riga Mariners lately — more wins on the board than Alberts JDFS.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Riga Mariners have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 10%
Riga Mariners Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alberts JDFS Riga Mariners
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.97 2.58
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Riga Mariners
0:4
Jun 20, 2026 Latvian Cup
Riga Mariners vs Alberts JDFS
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Riga Mariners
2:0
Jul 18, 2025 1. Liga
Riga Mariners vs Alberts JDFS
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alberts JDFS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Riga Mariners Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazis A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bokans E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 30 / 100
Riga Mariners 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alberts JDFS Riga Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alberts JDFS found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Riga Mariners's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Alberts JDFS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alberts JDFS VS Riga Mariners
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alberts JDFS

(Home)
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
08 Aug
Alberts JDFS
2 : 0
Riga FC 2
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Riga Mariners

(Away)
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
29 Aug
Riga Mariners
3 : 1
RFS 2
24 Aug
Riga FC 2
1 : 3
Riga Mariners
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 20 14 4 2 37:22 46
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Skanste 20 8 2 10 43:41 26
8 Riga FC 2 20 7 4 9 29:37 25
9 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
10 RFS 2 20 4 3 13 31:56 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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