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Alberts JDFS vs Super Nova 2

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alberts JDFS host Super Nova 2 in the Nakotnes liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Super Nova 2 have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Alberts JDFS have conceded 1.25 and scored 2.5. Head-to-head, Alberts JDFS have won 0 to Super Nova 2's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.00 - 1.31) back Alberts JDFS to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alberts JDFS
33%
Draws
27%
Super Nova 2
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alberts JDFS come out ahead of Super Nova 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alberts JDFS's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 18%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alberts JDFS Super Nova 2
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 18 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Super Nova 2 vs Alberts JDFS
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 40 / 100
Super Nova 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alberts JDFS Super Nova 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alberts JDFS scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Super Nova 2 let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Alberts JDFS stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alberts JDFS VS Super Nova 2
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alberts JDFS

(Home)
18 Jul
JFK Ventspils
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
04 Jul
Alberts JDFS
0 : 4
Riga Mariners
27 Jun
Rezekne
2 : 4
Alberts JDFS
20 Jun
Riga Mariners
1 : 0
Alberts JDFS
13 Jun
Alberts JDFS
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 7

Super Nova 2

(Away)
19 Jul
Riga FC 2
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
05 Jul
RFS 2
1 : 1
Super Nova 2
27 Jun
Super Nova 2
3 : 1
Tukums 2000 2
13 Jun
FK Metta
7 : 3
Super Nova 2
26 May
Super Nova 2
0 : 0
Valmiera
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta13111146:1134
2Valmiera13102135:1232
3Riga Mariners1384126:1228
4Leevon PPK1383222:1627
5Alberts JDFS1372428:2123
6Marupe1361622:1919
7Riga FC 21361621:2319
8Super Nova 21354420:1919
9Skanste1341820:2713
10Tukums 2000 21332818:3111
11JFK Ventspils1324716:2310
12RFS 21323815:289
13FK Smiltene1314813:337
14Rezekne13121010:375
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