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AlbinoLeffe vs Triestina

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 AlbinoLeffe, Zanica
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Vicario J.
36'
Anzolin M.
45'
Tonetto M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between AlbinoLeffe and Triestina finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AlbinoLeffe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
AlbinoLeffe
11%
Draws
9%
Triestina
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: AlbinoLeffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • AlbinoLeffe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on AlbinoLeffe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AlbinoLeffe Triestina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Triestina
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe
5:2
Mar 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Triestina
2:0
Oct 30, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer De Paoli A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ambrosini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Triestina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AlbinoLeffe 86 / 100
Triestina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AlbinoLeffe Triestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triestina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: AlbinoLeffe scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: AlbinoLeffe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AlbinoLeffe VS Triestina
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AlbinoLeffe

(Home)
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
25 Apr
Alcione Milano
2 : 1
AlbinoLeffe
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
12 Apr
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

Triestina

(Away)
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
11 Apr
Triestina
2 : 0
Giana Erminio
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1
Triestina
28 Mar
Triestina
5 : 0
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)