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AlbinoLeffe vs Triestina

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 AlbinoLeffe, Zanica
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Vicario J.
36'
Anzolin M.
45'
Tonetto M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between AlbinoLeffe and Triestina finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AlbinoLeffe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AlbinoLeffe
35%
Draws
19%
Triestina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AlbinoLeffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AlbinoLeffe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on AlbinoLeffe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AlbinoLeffe Triestina
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Triestina
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe
5:2
Mar 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Triestina
2:0
Oct 30, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs AlbinoLeffe
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer De Paoli A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ambrosini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Triestina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AlbinoLeffe 68 / 100
Triestina 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AlbinoLeffe Triestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AlbinoLeffe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triestina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: AlbinoLeffe scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: AlbinoLeffe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AlbinoLeffe VS Triestina
2.25 Goals Scored 0.57
1 Goals Conceded 1.86
100% Over 1.5 71%
100% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

AlbinoLeffe

(Home)
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1
Carpi
31 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
22 Aug
Giana Erminio
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

Triestina

(Away)
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
25 Apr
Triestina
1 : 6
Vicenza
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)