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Albion Rovers vs Auchinleck Talbot - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Hunter D.
50' Event
Boyd C.
53' Event
Boyd C.
Assist: Sime A.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Albion Rovers and Auchinleck Talbot finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auchinleck Talbot.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Albion Rovers
15%
Draws
51%
Auchinleck Talbot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auchinleck Talbot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Auchinleck Talbot carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Auchinleck Talbot a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Albion Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Auchinleck Talbot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albion Rovers Auchinleck Talbot
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 3 1
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.17 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Lowland League
Albion Rovers vs Auchinleck Talbot
1:3
Sep 28, 2024 Scottish Cup
Albion Rovers vs Auchinleck Talbot
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albion Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Hunter D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Auchinleck Talbot Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyd C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Main L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albion Rovers 10 / 100
Auchinleck Talbot 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albion Rovers Auchinleck Talbot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auchinleck Talbot Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Albion Rovers's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Auchinleck Talbot has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Auchinleck Talbot's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Albion Rovers VS Auchinleck Talbot
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion Rovers

(Home)
03 Oct
Pollok
4 : 1
Albion Rovers
26 Sept
Pollok
5 : 1
Albion Rovers
19 Sept
Albion Rovers
2 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
15 Sept
Albion Rovers
0 : 3
Kilwinning Rangers
12 Sept
Beith
1 : 1
Albion Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Auchinleck Talbot

(Away)
02 Oct
Cumnock Juniors
2 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
26 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
4 : 0
Cumnock Juniors
22 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
3 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
16 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
12 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
3 : 1
Caledonian Braves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)