Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Trasante J.
16'
16'
Peralta M.
27'
27'
Silveira H.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Albion and Danubio finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Danubio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Albion come out ahead of Danubio on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Albion Clean Sheet 20%
Danubio Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Albion | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Danubio
2:2
May 9, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Albion
0:1
Oct 16, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Albion
3:0
May 27, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Danubio
1:2
Nov 1, 2021 Segunda Division
Albion vs Danubio
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Albion Compare
Top Goalscorer Figueroa T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alvarez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Danubio Compare
Top Goalscorer Trasante J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Peralta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Albion 32 / 100
Danubio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Albion Danubio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Danubio conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Albion scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Albion stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Albion VS Danubio
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Albion
(Home) 03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1 Albion
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3 Juventud
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1 Albion
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3 Juventud
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
07 Sept
Albion
0 : 1 Progreso
03 Sept
Albion
2 : 1 Progreso
Page 1 of 3
Danubio
(Away) 04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Danubio
24 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1 Penarol
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1 Wanderers
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Danubio
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
01 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 0 Danubio
29 Aug
Progreso
1 : 0 Danubio
14 Aug
Boston River
0 : 0 Danubio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
