Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albion vs Juventud

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Airala C.
41'
Roldan L.
46'
Sub
Arady B. In: Chagas R.
Out: Arady B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Albion and Juventud finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Albion
30%
Draws
47%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Juventud carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Juventud are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Albion Clean Sheet 20%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albion Juventud
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.12 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Juventud
1:3
Jul 17, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Juventud
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Albion
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Copa Uruguay
Juventud vs Albion
0:2
Sep 25, 2024 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Albion
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albion Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaniz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albion 12 / 100
Juventud 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albion Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventud Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Albion scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Juventud has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Albion stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albion VS Juventud
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion

(Home)
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1
Albion
07 Sept
Albion
0 : 1
Progreso
03 Sept
Albion
2 : 1
Progreso
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Juventud

(Away)
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0
Juventud
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 7 5 1 1 12:3 16
2 Cerro Largo 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
3 Racing Montevideo 7 2 4 1 4:3 10
4 Liverpool M. 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
5 Central Esp. 7 2 3 2 4:4 9
6 CA Cerro 7 3 0 4 6:10 9
7 Defensor Sp. 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
8 Boston River 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wanderers 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
2 Club Nacional 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
3 Maldonado 7 3 3 1 12:6 12
4 Montevideo City 7 4 0 3 11:11 12
5 Juventud 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
6 Albion 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
7 Progreso 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
8 Danubio 7 0 4 3 5:9 4
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)