Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albirex Niigata vs Ehime

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Albirex Niigata Logo

Albirex Niigata

2 - 1
FT
Ehime Logo

Ehime

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Sugiyama K.
59'
Sub
Wakatsuki Y. In: Shimamura T.
Out: Wakatsuki Y.
60' Event
Kato T.
Assist: Fujiwara S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Albirex Niigata in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albirex Niigata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Albirex Niigata
20%
Draws
40%
Ehime
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ehime haven't matched Albirex Niigata's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ehime taking it.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Albirex Niigata have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 11%
Ehime Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albirex Niigata Ehime
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 1 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 J2/J3 League
Albirex Niigata vs Ehime
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ehime vs Albirex Niigata
0:1
Nov 13, 2021 J2 League
Albirex Niigata vs Ehime
2:0
Apr 24, 2021 J2 League
Ehime vs Albirex Niigata
0:2
Nov 25, 2020 J2 League
Albirex Niigata vs Ehime
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albirex Niigata Compare

Top Goalscorer Kato T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kasai K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ehime Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albirex Niigata 27 / 100
Ehime 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albirex Niigata Ehime

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ehime Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albirex Niigata found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Ehime conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Albirex Niigata remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Albirex Niigata VS Ehime
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albirex Niigata

(Home)
26 Sept
Blaublitz
2 : 2
Albirex Niigata
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Iwata
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
06 Sept
Yokohama FC
5 : 0
Albirex Niigata
02 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 2
Albirex Niigata
Page 1 of 6

Ehime

(Away)
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1
Ehime
19 Sept
Ehime
2 : 1
Kamatamare Sanuki
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1
Ehime
05 Sept
Ehime
4 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
02 Sept
Ehime
1 : 0
Blaublitz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)