Sport Picks
Albirex Niigata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata 
Match Events
17'
17'
Umetsu R.
19'
19'
Wakatsuki Y.
Penalty Missed
19'
19'
Okumura J.
AI Match Summary
The J2 League game between Albirex Niigata and Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albirex Niigata.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Albirex Niigata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Albirex Niigata come out ahead of Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Albirex Niigata taking it.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Albirex Niigata have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 68%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Albirex Niigata | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 J2 League
Albirex Niigata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2:1
Jun 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Albirex Niigata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:0
Jun 29, 2024 J1 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Albirex Niigata
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 J1 League
Albirex Niigata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:1
Jul 15, 2023 J1 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Albirex Niigata
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Albirex Niigata Compare
Top Goalscorer Okumura J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shimabuku K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare
Top Goalscorer Horigome Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Albirex Niigata 59 / 100
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Albirex Niigata Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Albirex Niigata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Albirex Niigata's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Albirex Niigata has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Albirex Niigata VS Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Albirex Niigata
(Home) 11 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1 Albirex Niigata
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Tokushima
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Blaublitz
2 : 2 Albirex Niigata
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Iwata
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Tokushima
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Iwata
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
26 Aug
Albirex Niigata
0 : 4 Kagoshima United
22 Aug
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 4
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
(Away) 10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1 Iwaki
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2 Okayama
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1 Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
02 Sept
Kagoshima United
0 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
29 Aug
Kofu
2 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 12 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 14 | Iwaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 18 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 19 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
