Sport Picks
Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata 
AI Match Summary
Albirex Niigata host Sagan Tosu in the J2 League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Albirex Niigata at 1.27 goals for, 1.33 against; Sagan Tosu at 1.53 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Albirex Niigata have won 2 to Sagan Tosu's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 6, 2024, ending 3:4. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.13) point toward Albirex Niigata. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Albirex Niigata have won more games recently than Sagan Tosu.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Albirex Niigata taking it.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Albirex Niigata | Sagan Tosu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Albirex Niigata's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Sagan Tosu let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Albirex Niigata went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Albirex Niigata
(Home)Sagan Tosu
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 12 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 14 | Iwaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 18 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 19 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
