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Albirex Niigata vs Tanjong Pagar

Singapore Singapore

Premier League Jurong East Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albirex Niigata play Tanjong Pagar in the Premier League. Albirex Niigata are favorites here. Recently, Albirex Niigata averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Tanjong Pagar averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.97 conceded. In past meetings, Albirex Niigata won 5, Tanjong Pagar won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for Albirex Niigata and 0.69 for Tanjong Pagar. This points to a Albirex Niigata double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

76%
Albirex Niigata
15%
Draws
9%
Tanjong Pagar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Albirex Niigata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Albirex Niigata picked up more points recently compared to Tanjong Pagar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.63 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 28%
Tanjong Pagar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albirex Niigata Tanjong Pagar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 2
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 2.3 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Albirex Niigata vs Tanjong Pagar
4:0
Mar 6, 2026 Premier League
Tanjong Pagar vs Albirex Niigata
0:2
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Albirex Niigata vs Tanjong Pagar
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 Singapore Cup
Albirex Niigata vs Tanjong Pagar
1:0
May 16, 2025 Premier League
Albirex Niigata vs Tanjong Pagar
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albirex Niigata Compare

Top Goalscorer Jo Eun-soo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yokohata T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Tanjong Pagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezzejjari Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ismit A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albirex Niigata 74 / 100
Tanjong Pagar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albirex Niigata Tanjong Pagar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albirex Niigata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Albirex Niigata & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +11.7%
1.47
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Albirex Niigata attacking → ← attacking Tanjong Pagar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albirex Niigata scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Tanjong Pagar let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Albirex Niigata went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tanjong Pagar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 9
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lion City Sailors21163270:1451
2Tampines21154258:2149
3Albirex Niigata21152447:1947
4Balestier Khalsa21112844:4635
5Geylang21731129:4224
6Hougang21701424:4121
7Young Lions21231615:589
8Tanjong Pagar21211817:637