Sport Picks
Albirex Niigata W vs Urawa W
Japan
WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata 
Match Events
4'
4'
Hanami S.
20'
20'
Sakakibara K.
25'
25'
Ariyoshi S.
AI Match Summary
Urawa W in this WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Urawa W have won more games recently than Albirex Niigata W.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Urawa W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Urawa W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Albirex Niigata W Clean Sheet 16%
Urawa W Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Albirex Niigata W | Urawa W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 19 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Urawa W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:3
Dec 20, 2025 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Albirex Niigata W
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 WE League Cup Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Urawa W
2:3
Aug 17, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Urawa W
0:5
May 4, 2025 WE League Women
Urawa W vs Albirex Niigata W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Albirex Niigata W Compare
Top Goalscorer Hanami S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ariyoshi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Urawa W Compare
Top Goalscorer Sakakibara K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sugasawa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Albirex Niigata W 31 / 100
Urawa W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Albirex Niigata W Urawa W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Albirex Niigata W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Albirex Niigata W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Urawa W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Albirex Niigata W VS Urawa W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Albirex Niigata W
(Home) 16 May
Beleza W
2 : 1 Albirex Niigata W
09 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 2 Nojima Stella W
02 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 0 Omiya Ardija W
26 Apr
Saitama W
1 : 2 Albirex Niigata W
05 Apr
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 2 Nojima Stella W
02 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 0 Omiya Ardija W
05 Apr
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
28 Mar
Albirex Niigata W
2 : 2 AC Parceiro Nagano W
14 Mar
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 0 Nojima Stella W
Page 1 of 3
Urawa W
(Away) 16 May
JEF United W
1 : 0 Urawa W
10 May
Urawa W
1 : 0 Beleza W
03 May
Urawa W
0 : 1 Mynavi Sendai W
26 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 0 Urawa W
04 Apr
C-Osaka W
2 : 3 Urawa W
Page 1 of 6
16 May
JEF United W
1 : 0 Urawa W
26 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 0 Urawa W
04 Apr
C-Osaka W
2 : 3 Urawa W
29 Mar
Nojima Stella W
0 : 2 Urawa W
21 Mar
C-Osaka W
0 : 2 Urawa W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Inac Kobe Leonesa W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
| 4 | Saitama W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:16 | 3 |
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beleza W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 2 | Mynavi Sendai W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 12 |
| 3 | JEF United W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 10 |
| 4 | AC Parceiro Nagano W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C-Osaka W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Urawa W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Nojima Stella W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | 6 |
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams