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Alcantarilla vs Muleno CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Morales D. M.
31' Event
Campos F. J. M.
38' Event
Ramirez P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 game between Alcantarilla and Muleno CF finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muleno CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alcantarilla
35%
Draws
26%
Muleno CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcantarilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Muleno CF haven't matched Alcantarilla's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alcantarilla's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Muleno CF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 68%
Muleno CF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcantarilla Muleno CF
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Muleno CF
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Alcantarilla
1:0
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Alcantarilla
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Muleno CF
0:0
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Alcantarilla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcantarilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Muleno CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales D. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campos F. J. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcantarilla 95 / 100
Muleno CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcantarilla Muleno CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcantarilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muleno CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Alcantarilla remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Alcantarilla found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alcantarilla VS Muleno CF
0.83 Goals Scored 0.88
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcantarilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6

Muleno CF

(Away)
10 May
Muleno CF
1 : 6
Ciudad Cieza
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Muleno CF
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4
Muleno CF
19 Apr
Muleno CF
1 : 1
Mazarron FC
12 Apr
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 1
Muleno CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 62:22 78
2 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 7 6 73:26 70
3 Molinense 34 18 13 3 54:24 67
4 Santomera 34 18 8 8 66:42 62
5 Aguilas FC B 34 18 8 8 52:23 62
6 CA Pulpileno 34 15 10 9 35:23 55
7 UCAM Murcia B 34 14 9 11 45:35 51
8 Real Murcia B 34 13 10 11 44:31 49
9 E.G. El Palmar 34 12 10 12 48:45 46
10 Bala Azul 34 10 14 10 34:27 44
11 Caravaca 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
12 Deportivo Maritimo 34 10 7 17 38:57 37
13 Muleno CF 34 9 10 15 29:49 37
14 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 9 16 27:43 36
15 Minerva 34 8 10 16 33:45 34
16 Bullense 34 7 9 18 29:58 30
17 Alcantarilla 34 7 7 20 21:65 28
18 Plus Ultra 34 2 3 29 23:92 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)