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Alcazar vs Azuqueca

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 game between Alcazar and Azuqueca finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcazar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Alcazar
20%
Draws
73%
Azuqueca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azuqueca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Azuqueca come out ahead of Alcazar on wins alone.
  • Azuqueca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Alcazar Clean Sheet 20%
Azuqueca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcazar Azuqueca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 5
Draws 4 11
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 0.6 0.97
Goals Conceded 3.37 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Azuqueca
2:1
Sep 29, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Alcazar
2:0
Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Azuqueca
1:1
Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Azuqueca vs Alcazar
2:0
May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Azuqueca
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcazar 10 / 100
Azuqueca 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcazar Azuqueca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azuqueca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azuqueca has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Alcazar's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Alcazar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Azuqueca
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcazar

(Home)
16 May
Alcazar
2 : 3
Villarrobledo
10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0
Alcazar
02 May
Alcazar
0 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0
Alcazar
19 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 0
Atletico Ibanes
Page 1 of 6

Azuqueca

(Away)
10 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
03 May
Marchamalo
0 : 4
Azuqueca
26 Apr
Azuqueca
4 : 1
Sonseca
19 Apr
Azuqueca
2 : 2
Villarrubia
11 Apr
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
Azuqueca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Puertollano 38 31 5 2 88:18 98
2 Socuellamos 38 25 8 5 72:26 83
3 Villarrobledo 38 22 10 6 80:32 76
4 UD Almansa 38 20 12 6 53:36 72
5 CF Talavera 38 21 9 8 72:34 72
6 Villarrubia 38 16 10 12 48:56 58
7 CD Pedroneras 38 14 12 12 42:50 54
8 La Gineta 38 12 12 14 51:55 48
9 Atletico Ibanes 38 11 14 13 44:50 47
10 Quintanar del Rey 38 12 11 15 44:56 47
11 Manzanares 38 11 12 15 41:46 45
12 Albacete B 38 10 13 15 45:58 43
13 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 10 13 15 43:54 43
14 Hellin Deportivo 38 10 13 15 35:40 43
15 Alcazar 38 11 8 19 46:56 41
16 Mora CF 38 12 4 22 37:63 40
17 Madridejos 38 8 14 16 30:41 38
18 Illescas 38 8 12 18 39:59 36
19 Azuqueca 38 9 9 20 36:53 36
20 EF Zona 5 Albacete 38 2 9 27 34:97 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)