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Alcazar vs Hellin Deportivo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcazar in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcazar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alcazar
15%
Draws
0%
Hellin Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcazar lately — more wins on the board than Hellin Deportivo.
  • Hellin Deportivo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Alcazar Clean Sheet 10%
Hellin Deportivo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcazar Hellin Deportivo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 0
Draws 4 1
Losses 25 29
Goals Scored 0.6 0.03
Goals Conceded 3.37 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Hellin Deportivo
2:0
Oct 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hellin Deportivo vs Alcazar
1:1
May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hellin Deportivo vs Alcazar
1:1
Dec 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs Hellin Deportivo
2:1
Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hellin Deportivo vs Alcazar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcazar 10 / 100
Hellin Deportivo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcazar Hellin Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hellin Deportivo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hellin Deportivo let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Hellin Deportivo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Alcazar's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alcazar VS Hellin Deportivo
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcazar

(Home)
16 May
Alcazar
2 : 3
Villarrobledo
10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0
Alcazar
02 May
Alcazar
0 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0
Alcazar
19 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 0
Atletico Ibanes
Page 1 of 6

Hellin Deportivo

(Away)
17 May
Hellin Deportivo
0 : 2
Mora CF
10 May
Madridejos
2 : 0
Hellin Deportivo
03 May
Hellin Deportivo
0 : 2
Villarrubia
26 Apr
Toledo 2
2 : 0
Hellin Deportivo
19 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
0 : 2
CD Pedroneras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Puertollano 38 31 5 2 88:18 98
2 Socuellamos 38 25 8 5 72:26 83
3 Villarrobledo 38 22 10 6 80:32 76
4 UD Almansa 38 20 12 6 53:36 72
5 CF Talavera 38 21 9 8 72:34 72
6 Villarrubia 38 16 10 12 48:56 58
7 CD Pedroneras 38 14 12 12 42:50 54
8 La Gineta 38 12 12 14 51:55 48
9 Atletico Ibanes 38 11 14 13 44:50 47
10 Quintanar del Rey 38 12 11 15 44:56 47
11 Manzanares 38 11 12 15 41:46 45
12 Albacete B 38 10 13 15 45:58 43
13 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 10 13 15 43:54 43
14 Hellin Deportivo 38 10 13 15 35:40 43
15 Alcazar 38 11 8 19 46:56 41
16 Mora CF 38 12 4 22 37:63 40
17 Madridejos 38 8 14 16 30:41 38
18 Illescas 38 8 12 18 39:59 36
19 Azuqueca 38 9 9 20 36:53 36
20 EF Zona 5 Albacete 38 2 9 27 34:97 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)