Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Talavera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to UD Talavera lately — more wins on the board than Alcazar.
- Model gives UD Talavera a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Alcazar have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Alcazar Clean Sheet 10%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcazar | UD Talavera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 25 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.16 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Alcazar
0:2
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs UD Talavera
1:0
Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs UD Talavera
1:1
Oct 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Alcazar
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcazar 10 / 100
UD Talavera 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcazar UD Talavera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Talavera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Talavera has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: UD Talavera has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Alcazar scored in 41% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alcazar VS UD Talavera
1 Goals Scored 0
4.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcazar
(Home) 16 May
Alcazar
2 : 3 Villarrobledo
10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0 Alcazar
02 May
Alcazar
0 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0 Alcazar
19 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 0 Atletico Ibanes
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16 May
Alcazar
2 : 3 Villarrobledo
02 May
Alcazar
0 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
19 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 0 Atletico Ibanes
12 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 5 Manchego Ciudad Real
29 Mar
Alcazar
0 : 4 CF Talavera
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UD Talavera
(Away) 20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2 UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3 UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3 Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0 UD Talavera
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12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3 UD Talavera
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0 UD Talavera
14 Apr
Manzanares
0 : 1 UD Talavera
31 Mar
CF Talavera
0 : 0 UD Talavera
17 Mar
Conquense
3 : 1 UD Talavera
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarrobledo | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 67:26 | 86 |
| 2 | UD Almansa | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 56:26 | 67 |
| 3 | Azuqueca | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:39 | 67 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 60:25 | 67 |
| 5 | Illescas | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 54:36 | 66 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 7 | Alcazar | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 50:34 | 64 |
| 8 | Quintanar del Rey | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57:60 | 54 |
| 9 | Madridejos | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 50:49 | 53 |
| 10 | Marchamalo | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 50:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Torrijos | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42:59 | 45 |
| 12 | Manzanares | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 46:51 | 44 |
| 13 | Hellin Deportivo | 38 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 37:48 | 44 |
| 14 | UD Talavera | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 40:46 | 43 |
| 15 | Atletico Ibanes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 35:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Socuellamos | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:58 | 40 |
| 17 | Tomelloso | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 43:57 | 40 |
| 18 | La Gineta | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 41:63 | 39 |
| 19 | CD Carranque | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 23:63 | 30 |
| 20 | Puertollano B | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 38:78 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
