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Alcione Milano vs Carpi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcione Milano host Carpi in the Serie C - Group A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Alcione Milano at 1 goals for, 1.17 against; Carpi at 1.11 for, 1.61 against. Head-to-head, Alcione Milano have won 1 to Carpi's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2022, ending 6:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward Alcione Milano. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Alcione Milano
35%
Draws
22%
Carpi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcione Milano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Carpi average 1.11 goals a game right now, well clear of Alcione Milano's 1.
  • Alcione Milano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 15%
Carpi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcione Milano Carpi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 14 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Alcione Milano vs Carpi
6:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Carpi vs Alcione Milano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcione Milano 39 / 100
Carpi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcione Milano Carpi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcione Milano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Alcione Milano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Carpi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcione Milano VS Carpi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcione Milano

(Home)
11 Oct
Lecco
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6

Carpi

(Away)
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Carpi
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Trento 9 4 5 0 12:5 17
6 Treviso 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 9 2 6 1 13:14 12
10 Lumezzane 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Lecco 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
14 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
15 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
16 Juventus U23 9 1 4 4 8:15 7
17 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
18 Folgore Caratese 9 1 3 5 9:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 9 0 5 4 8:12 5
20 Renate 9 0 4 5 8:14 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)