Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcione Milano vs Cittadella

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Bertolotti F.
46'
Sub
Barberis A. In: Vita A.
Out: Barberis A.
73'
Sub
Rabbi S. In: Bunino C.
Out: Rabbi S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Alcione Milano and Cittadella finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcione Milano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Alcione Milano
44%
Draws
20%
Cittadella
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Cittadella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 24%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcione Milano Cittadella
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Cittadella
2:0
Aug 29, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Alcione Milano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciappellano D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morselli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Cittadella Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcione Milano 37 / 100
Cittadella 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcione Milano Cittadella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alcione Milano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Alcione Milano found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Alcione Milano VS Cittadella
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcione Milano

(Home)
22 Jul
Torino
1 : 0
Alcione Milano
03 May
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Alcione Milano
25 Apr
Alcione Milano
2 : 1
AlbinoLeffe
19 Apr
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
10 Apr
Alcione Milano
0 : 2
Lecco
Page 1 of 6

Cittadella

(Away)
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1
Cittadella
10 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Ravenna
06 May
Cittadella
1 : 0
Lumezzane
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Arzignano
25 Apr
Cittadella
0 : 2
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)