Sport Picks
Alcione Milano vs Desenzano Calvina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni 
AI Match Summary
Alcione Milano host Desenzano Calvina in the Serie C - Group A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Alcione Milano have averaged 1 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Desenzano Calvina's 1.1 scored and 0.55 conceded. Past meetings favor Alcione Milano slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 14, 2023, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.13) point toward Desenzano Calvina. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Desenzano Calvina have won more games recently than Alcione Milano.
- Model gives Desenzano Calvina a 43% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Alcione Milano have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcione Milano | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 14 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Alcione Milano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Alcione Milano scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Desenzano Calvina let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alcione Milano
(Home)Desenzano Calvina
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Trento | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 6 | Treviso | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Desenzano Calvina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 8 | AlbinoLeffe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Alcione Milano | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Lumezzane | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Pergolettese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5:6 | 11 |
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 16 | Juventus U23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:15 | 7 |
| 17 | Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Folgore Caratese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 20 | Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | 4 |
