Sport Picks
Alcione Milano vs Novara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni 
Match Events
15'
15'
Ledonne N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Novara have won more games recently than Alcione Milano.
- Model gives Alcione Milano a 36% chance of winning this.
- Novara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Novara, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 20%
Novara Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcione Milano | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Alcione Milano vs Novara
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Alcione Milano
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Novara
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Alcione Milano
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Novara
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alcione Milano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Novara Compare
Top Goalscorer Ledonne N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcione Milano 36 / 100
Novara 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcione Milano Novara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Novara has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Alcione Milano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Alcione Milano found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Alcione Milano VS Novara
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcione Milano
(Home) 04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2 Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2 Trento
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1 Treviso
21 Aug
Alcione Milano
3 : 1 Renate
16 Aug
Alcione Milano
0 : 1 Novara
Page 1 of 3
Novara
(Away) 10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2 Cittadella
04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Novara
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Novara
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
22 Aug
Juventus U23
1 : 0 Novara
16 Aug
Alcione Milano
0 : 1 Novara
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
