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Alcione Milano vs Sona Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Bagatti N.
74' Event
Palma A.
(Penalty)
89'
Policano E.

AI Match Summary

Alcione Milano in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcione Milano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Alcione Milano
35%
Draws
37%
Sona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcione Milano lately — more wins on the board than Sona.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 20%
Sona Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcione Milano Sona
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 14 8
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.2 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Alcione Milano vs Sona
2:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Alcione Milano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bagatti N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcione Milano 32 / 100
Sona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcione Milano Sona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcione Milano scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

Sona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Alcione Milano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcione Milano VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcione Milano

(Home)
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 7

Sona

(Away)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)