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Alcione Milano vs Trento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Zini L.
25' Event
Molina J. I.
Assist: D'Intino R.
33'
Trapani N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Alcione Milano and Trento finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Alcione Milano
35%
Draws
35%
Trento
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trento come out ahead of Alcione Milano on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Trento's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 18%
Trento Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcione Milano Trento
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.18 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Trento
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Alcione Milano
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Trento
2:0
Mar 17, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Alcione Milano
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Trento
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Zini L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rolfini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Trento Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina J. I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aucelli C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcione Milano 15 / 100
Trento 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcione Milano Trento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trento has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alcione Milano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Alcione Milano scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcione Milano VS Trento
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcione Milano

(Home)
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
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Trento

(Away)
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
4 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
10 Lumezzane 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
14 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
15 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
16 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
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Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)