Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcobaca vs Benfica

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1982/1983
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primeira Liga 1982/1983 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Alcobaca
30%
Draws
51%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Benfica have won more games recently than Alcobaca.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Benfica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alcobaca Clean Sheet 12%
Benfica Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcobaca Benfica
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 21
Draws 3 7
Losses 23 4
Goals Scored 0.67 2.53
Goals Conceded 2.3 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 1983 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Alcobaca
8:1
Dec 5, 1982 Liga Portugal
Alcobaca vs Benfica
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcobaca 10 / 100
Benfica 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcobaca Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Benfica let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Alcobaca found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Alcobaca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Benfica
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcobaca

(Home)
14 May
Alcobaca
0 : 3
SC Lusitania
07 May
Sertanense
3 : 0
Alcobaca
30 Apr
Alcobaca
2 : 2
Sporting Ideal
23 Apr
Alcobaca
3 : 0
Gafetense
15 Apr
SC Angrense
4 : 0
Alcobaca
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Benfica

(Away)
20 Aug
Benfica
3 : 1
Aarhus
17 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 7
Benfica
13 Aug
Hearts
1 : 1
Benfica
09 Aug
Benfica
2 : 2
Academico Viseu
06 Aug
Benfica
6 : 1
Hearts
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