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Alcobendas vs CD Mostoles Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 22, 2020
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcobendas host CD Mostoles in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Alcobendas at 1.55 goals for, 1.6 against; CD Mostoles at 1.5 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Alcobendas have won 2 to CD Mostoles's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 0.99) back CD Mostoles to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Alcobendas
30%
Draws
38%
CD Mostoles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Mostoles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Mostoles come out ahead of Alcobendas on wins alone.
  • CD Mostoles are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 20%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcobendas CD Mostoles
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs CD Mostoles
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Alcobendas
4:0
Apr 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs CD Mostoles
1:0
Dec 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Alcobendas
0:3
Jan 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs CD Mostoles
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcobendas 28 / 100
CD Mostoles 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcobendas CD Mostoles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcobendas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alcobendas scored in 70% of their last 20 games.

Defensive concern: CD Mostoles conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Mostoles
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcobendas

(Home)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
Page 1 of 4

CD Mostoles

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Navalcarnero 28 16 5 7 44:22 53
2 Union Adarve 28 14 5 9 43:35 47
3 Alcorcon B 28 12 11 5 40:26 47
4 RSD Alcala 28 13 6 9 41:32 45
5 Trival Valderas 28 12 7 9 30:27 43
6 Leganes B 28 11 9 8 49:41 42
7 CD Mostoles 28 12 6 10 42:36 42
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 28 11 7 10 36:38 40
9 Rayo Vallecano B 28 10 9 9 47:44 39
10 Flat Earth FC 28 11 9 8 36:34 39
11 Santa Ana 28 11 5 12 42:46 38
12 Carabanchel 28 9 9 10 32:32 36
13 Atletico Pinto 28 8 11 9 40:38 35
14 AD Torrejon 28 9 8 11 27:32 35
15 El Alamo 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
16 Moratalaz 28 8 10 10 29:37 34
17 San Fernando de Henares 28 8 9 11 38:42 33
18 Alcobendas 28 8 9 11 35:38 33
19 Parla 28 4 10 14 30:50 22
20 Villaverde San Andres 28 3 10 15 16:41 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)