Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcobendas vs Flat Earth FC

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Sun, May 3, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcobendas play Flat Earth FC in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alcobendas averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Flat Earth FC averaged 0.79 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Alcobendas won 0, Flat Earth FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Alcobendas and 1.11 for Flat Earth FC. This points to a Flat Earth FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Alcobendas
24%
Draws
42%
Flat Earth FC
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Flat Earth FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcobendas picked up more points recently compared to Flat Earth FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 21%
Flat Earth FC Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcobendas Flat Earth FC
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.55 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Flat Earth FC
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Flat Earth FC vs Alcobendas
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcobendas 35 / 100
Flat Earth FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcobendas Flat Earth FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Flat Earth FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alcobendas attacking → ← attacking Flat Earth FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcobendas scored in 70% of their last 20 games.

Flat Earth FC let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Alcobendas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Flat Earth FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 41
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Navalcarnero28165744:2253
2Union Adarve28145943:3547
3Alcorcon B281211540:2647
4RSD Alcala28136941:3245
5Trival Valderas28127930:2743
6Leganes B28119849:4142
7CD Mostoles281261042:3642
8Pozuelo de Alarcon281171036:3840
9Rayo Vallecano B28109947:4439
10Flat Earth FC28119836:3439
11Santa Ana281151242:4638
12Carabanchel28991032:3236
13Atletico Pinto28811940:3835
14AD Torrejon28981127:3235
15El Alamo28971236:4234
16Moratalaz288101029:3734
17San Fernando de Henares28891138:4233
18Alcobendas28891135:3833
19Parla284101430:5022
20Villaverde San Andres283101516:4119