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Alcobendas vs Flat Earth FC

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Sun, May 3, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcobendas host Flat Earth FC in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Flat Earth FC have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Alcobendas have conceded 1.6 and scored 1.55. Past meetings favor Flat Earth FC slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 1.11) back Flat Earth FC to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Alcobendas
30%
Draws
19%
Flat Earth FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flat Earth FC lately — more wins on the board than Alcobendas.
  • Win probability leans Alcobendas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 20%
Flat Earth FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcobendas Flat Earth FC
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.55 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Flat Earth FC
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Flat Earth FC vs Alcobendas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcobendas 85 / 100
Flat Earth FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcobendas Flat Earth FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcobendas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcobendas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alcobendas's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Flat Earth FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Flat Earth FC has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Flat Earth FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcobendas

(Home)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
Page 1 of 4

Flat Earth FC

(Away)
09 May
Carabanchel
2 : 0
Flat Earth FC
05 May
Trival Valderas
3 : 0
Flat Earth FC
02 May
Flat Earth FC
1 : 0
Parla
18 Apr
Flat Earth FC
2 : 2
Carabanchel
11 Apr
Parla
3 : 0
Flat Earth FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Navalcarnero 28 16 5 7 44:22 53
2 Union Adarve 28 14 5 9 43:35 47
3 Alcorcon B 28 12 11 5 40:26 47
4 RSD Alcala 28 13 6 9 41:32 45
5 Trival Valderas 28 12 7 9 30:27 43
6 Leganes B 28 11 9 8 49:41 42
7 CD Mostoles 28 12 6 10 42:36 42
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 28 11 7 10 36:38 40
9 Rayo Vallecano B 28 10 9 9 47:44 39
10 Flat Earth FC 28 11 9 8 36:34 39
11 Santa Ana 28 11 5 12 42:46 38
12 Carabanchel 28 9 9 10 32:32 36
13 Atletico Pinto 28 8 11 9 40:38 35
14 AD Torrejon 28 9 8 11 27:32 35
15 El Alamo 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
16 Moratalaz 28 8 10 10 29:37 34
17 San Fernando de Henares 28 8 9 11 38:42 33
18 Alcobendas 28 8 9 11 35:38 33
19 Parla 28 4 10 14 30:50 22
20 Villaverde San Andres 28 3 10 15 16:41 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)