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Alcobendas vs Rayo Vallecano B Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 15, 2020
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcobendas host Rayo Vallecano B in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Alcobendas have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Rayo Vallecano B's 1.13 scored and 1.74 conceded. Head-to-head, Alcobendas have won 2 to Rayo Vallecano B's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.73 xG vs 0.68) point toward Alcobendas. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Alcobendas
30%
Draws
6%
Rayo Vallecano B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Alcobendas haven't matched Rayo Vallecano B's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alcobendas a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcobendas Rayo Vallecano B
Matches Played 20 38
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.55 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Rayo Vallecano B
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Alcobendas
2:1
May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:0
Dec 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Alcobendas
0:0
Apr 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Rayo Vallecano B
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcobendas 67 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcobendas Rayo Vallecano B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcobendas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcobendas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Alcobendas scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Rayo Vallecano B let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.

Away concern: Rayo Vallecano B has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rayo Vallecano B
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcobendas

(Home)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
Page 1 of 4

Rayo Vallecano B

(Away)
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Navalcarnero 28 16 5 7 44:22 53
2 Union Adarve 28 14 5 9 43:35 47
3 Alcorcon B 28 12 11 5 40:26 47
4 RSD Alcala 28 13 6 9 41:32 45
5 Trival Valderas 28 12 7 9 30:27 43
6 Leganes B 28 11 9 8 49:41 42
7 CD Mostoles 28 12 6 10 42:36 42
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 28 11 7 10 36:38 40
9 Rayo Vallecano B 28 10 9 9 47:44 39
10 Flat Earth FC 28 11 9 8 36:34 39
11 Santa Ana 28 11 5 12 42:46 38
12 Carabanchel 28 9 9 10 32:32 36
13 Atletico Pinto 28 8 11 9 40:38 35
14 AD Torrejon 28 9 8 11 27:32 35
15 El Alamo 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
16 Moratalaz 28 8 10 10 29:37 34
17 San Fernando de Henares 28 8 9 11 38:42 33
18 Alcobendas 28 8 9 11 35:38 33
19 Parla 28 4 10 14 30:50 22
20 Villaverde San Andres 28 3 10 15 16:41 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)