Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcorcon B vs CD Las Rozas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Pozas I.
37' Event
Pastor V.
69' Event
Diaz Hervas J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alcorcon B
35%
Draws
32%
CD Las Rozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Las Rozas lately — more wins on the board than Alcorcon B.
  • Alcorcon B are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon B CD Las Rozas
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.19 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs CD Las Rozas
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Alcorcon B
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs CD Las Rozas
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Alcorcon B
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Alcorcon B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastor V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cornelie N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

CD Las Rozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pozas I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz Hervas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon B 86 / 100
CD Las Rozas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon B CD Las Rozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon B's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Las Rozas conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Alcorcon B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon B VS CD Las Rozas
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon B

(Home)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
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CD Las Rozas

(Away)
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3
CD Las Rozas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)